Yadda ake tsinkayar Motsin Farashi tare da Tashoshin Regression Linear?

Menene Tsarin Layin Layin Layi don Kasuwanci?

Tsarin layin koma baya na layi shine y = m x + b. a ciniki sharuddan, wannan yana nufin:

• y = farashin da aka annabta
• m = gangara (tushen hanya)
• x = lokacin lokaci
• b = wurin farawa (y-intercept)

Wannan dabarar tana samun layin "mafi dacewa" ta hanyar bayanan farashi. "Ma'auni na Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙarƙashin Ƙirar Ƙirar Ƙayyadadden Ƙirar Ƙayyadadden Ƙirar Ƙirar, yana nuna inda ake sa ran farashin ya kasance," a cewar aminci.

Ga Yadda Yan kasuwa ke Amfani da Tsarin Layi na Juyin Halitta

Lokacin da farashin ya motsa sama da layin sake dawowa, yana nuna kasuwa ya yi yawa. Lokacin da farashin ya faɗi ƙasa da layin, yana nuna kasuwa ya yi yawa. Wannan yana ba ku fayyace sigina da siyarwa.

Tsarin yana aiki mafi kyau fiye da motsi matsakaicin domin yana hasashen inda farashin ya kamata. Matsakaicin motsi kawai yana nuna inda farashin ya kasance. Juyin layi na layi yana nuna muku ƙimar gaskiya a yanzu.

Example: If Bitcoin yana ciniki a $113,640 amma layin koma baya na linzamin yana nuna $114,000 ko sama, Bitcoin na iya zama mai ƙarancin farashi. Mai hankali traders zai yi la'akari da siye.

Juyin juyayi na layi yana aiki azaman mai nuna fasaha don tsinkayar farashin nan gaba dangane da bayanan tarihi, yana mai da shi mahimmanci ga traders neman daidaiton lissafi a cikin binciken su.

Menene Channel Regression Linear?

Tashoshin Regression Linear yana amfani da layi ɗaya guda uku don nuna muku damar ciniki. Layin tsakiya shine layin dabarar jujjuyawar layinku (y = mx + b). Layukan sama da na ƙasa suna zama daidai nisa nesa da layin tsakiya.

Ga abin da kowane layi yake yi:

• Layin Tsakiya: Yana nuna darajar daidai inda farashin ya kamata
• Layin Sama: Yana aiki azaman juriya (yankin siyarwa)
• Ƙananan Layi: Aiki kamar goyon bayan (yankin siyayya)

Muhimmi: Tashar tana canzawa yayin da sabbin bayanan farashin suka shigo. Yawancin masu farawa suna ruɗe da wannan. Ka tuna, wannan al'ada ce. Tashar tana dacewa da yanayin kasuwa na yanzu ta atomatik.

Sabanin a tsaye layin yi da kuka zana kanku, tashoshi na juyawa na layi suna sabunta kowane mashaya. Wannan yana baka sabbin sigina ba tare da sake zana layin da hannu ba.

Yaya ake amfani da tashar Regression Linear don Kasuwanci?

Kuna iya ko dai amfani da Ma'auni na koma baya na Linear don bincike ta atomatik ko Kayan aikin Regression Trend don bincike na hannu.

Hanyar 1: Amfani da Ma'anar Juyin Juya Mai Layi

Mai nuna alama ta atomatik yana ƙididdigewa da ƙirƙira tashoshi na koma baya bisa ƙayyadadden lokaci:

Mataki 1: Bude jadawalin kuɗin da kuka fi so a cikin sa'o'i 1.

Mataki 2: Nemo shafin "Mai nuna alama" a saman ginshiƙi.

Mataki 3: Rubuta "Channel Regression Channel" a cikin mashaya bincike.

Mataki 4: Zaɓi ginanniyar mai nuna alama

Mataki 5: Sanya saitunan mai nuna alama don ingantaccen sakamako. A gefen hagu, nemo sunan mai nuna alama kuma danna alamar saiti kusa da shi.

• Length: Saita zuwa 50 (don lissafin lokaci 50)
• source: Ajiye azaman "Kusa"
• Daidaitaccen Karkatawa: Saita zuwa 2.0
• Ƙara Layi: Kunna don hasashen nan gaba

Hanyar 2: Amfani da Kayan Aikin Zana Manual

Hakanan zaka iya yin lissafin hannun hannu ta amfani da kayan aikin zane na koma baya. Yana ba ku damar zaɓar takamaiman wuraren farashi don bincike na al'ada:

Mataki 1: Danna ma'aunin zane a gefen hagu kuma nemo "Juyin Juya Hali."

Mataki 2: Nemo wurin farawa. Nemo mafi ƙasƙanci kuma mafi girma a cikin ginshiƙi. Haɗa ƙarshen duka biyu don ƙaddamar da kayan aiki.

Mataki 3: Jawo wuraren ƙarewa don daidaitawa ko daidaita tashar gwargwadon bukatunku.

Yadda Ake Zaɓan Tsawon Tashoshin Regression Dama?

Tsawon tashar yana ƙayyade adadin sandunan farashin da dabarar ke amfani da ita. Wannan yana da mahimmanci don daidaitattun sigina. Anan ga yadda zaku iya zaɓar tsayin tashar madaidaiciyar madaidaiciyar hanya:

Hankali mai sauri: "Zana tashar juyawa akan babban lokaci don bincika yanayin halin yanzu. Jira sigina akan ƙaramin lokaci.” Wannan tsarin tsarin lokaci da yawa yana rage siginar karya sosai.

Saitunan Tashoshin Juya Mai Layi

Saitunan tashar ku suna ƙayyade ingancin sigina. Anan an tabbatar da daidaitawa:

Yadda ake Samun Sigina da Siyar da Sigina Ta Amfani da Tashoshin Juyawa na Linear

Kuna iya amfani da tashoshi na jujjuyawar layi don samun siye ko siyar da sigina. Duk da haka, ainihin dabarun ya dogara da binciken ku. Wannan sashe don dalilai na ilimi ne kawai. Anan ga yadda zaku iya amfani da tashar koma baya ta layi don fahimtar siginar kasuwa:

Sayi Sigina:

1. Farashin ya taɓa ƙananan layi – An sayar da kasuwa, sa ran billa
   • Mafi kyawun saitin: Farashin bounces kashe ƙananan layi tare da ƙirar kyandir mai haske
   • Tabbatar da ƙara: Nemo ƙarar ƙara akan billa
   • Tsaya hasara: Sanya 10-20 pips a ƙasa da ƙananan tashar tashar
2. Farashin ya karye sama da layin tsakiya – Siginar ci gaba na Trend zuwa sama
   • Abin da ake bukata: Yana aiki kawai a cikin ingantaccen haɓakawa
   • Lokacin shigarwa: Jira cikakken kyandir kusa kusa da layin tsakiya
   • Target: Babban tashar tashar

Sigina na siyarwa:

1. Farashin ya taɓa layi na sama – An cika siyayyar kasuwa, sa ran ja da baya
   • Mafi kyawun saitin: Farashin ya ƙi daga layi na sama tare da tsarin juyawa na bearish
   • Tabbatar da ƙara: Babban girma akan siginar kin amincewa
   • Tsaya hasara: Sanya 10-20 pips sama da layin tashar tashar sama
2. Farashin ya karye a ƙasan layin tsakiya – Siginar ci gaba na Trend zuwa ƙasa
   • Abin da ake bukata: Yana aiki kawai a cikin kafuwar downtrend
   • Lokacin shigarwa: Jira cikakken kyandir kusa kusa da layin tsakiya
   • Target: Ƙananan layin tashar

Babban Dabarun Shiga:

• Karya karya trade: Idan farashin ya karya layin tashar amma nan da nan ya dawo, trade juyawa
• Dabarun taɓawa sau biyu: Taɓawa ta biyu na layin tashar sau da yawa yana ba da sigina masu ƙarfi
• Yankunan haduwa: Mafi kyawun sigina yana faruwa lokacin da layin tashoshi ya daidaita tare da manyan matakan tallafi / juriya

Mafi kyawun Dabarun Kasuwancin Tashoshin Regression Linear

Wadannan su ne dabarun wanda zai iya taimaka muku a cikin tafiyar kasuwanci:

Dabarun 1: Tashar Juya Juyin Juya Halin + Haɗin Stochastic

Wannan dabarar ta haɗu da daidaitattun wurare na tashoshi masu juyawa na layi tare da lokacinta tabbatar da wani oscillator Stochastic. Yana tace kashi 60-70% na siginar ƙarya ta hanyar buƙatar saitin fasaha guda biyu don daidaitawa kafin shiga. trades.

Yadda Ake Amfani da Wannan Tashar Regression Linear + Haɗin Stochastic

Ga yadda zaku iya amfani da wannan dabarar don ciniki:

Bukatun Saita:

• Saitunan Stochastic: %K Lokacin: 14, %D Lokacin: 3, Lallashi: 3
• Saitunan tashar: 50-lokaci tsawon, 2.0 daidaitaccen sabawa
• Lokaci lokaci: Yana aiki mafi kyau akan jadawalin awa 1 zuwa 4

Cikakken Tsarin Siginar Siyayya:

Mataki 1: Ƙara tashar Regression Linear zuwa ginshiƙi na TradingView ta amfani da kayan aikin zane ko bincike mai nuna alama. Saita tsawon zuwa lokuta 50 da madaidaicin karkata zuwa 2.0 don yawancin lokutan lokaci.

Mataki 2: Ƙara alamar oscillator na Stochastic ta bincika "Stochastic" a cikin menu masu nuna alama. Sanya saituna zuwa %K Lokacin: 14, %D Lokaci: 3, da Lallacewa: 3.

Mataki 3: Jira farashin don taɓa ko dai layin tasha na sama ko ƙasa saboda wannan yana nuna yuwuwar juzu'ai. Layi na sama yana aiki azaman juriya kuma ƙananan layi yana aiki azaman tallafi. Ka tuna, farashin taɓa waɗannan layukan kawai bai isa ya shigar da a trade.

Mataki 4: Duba alamar Stochastic lokacin da farashin ya taɓa layin tashar. Domin trades a ƙananan layin tashar, Stochastic yakamata ya kasance ƙasa da 20 kuma ya haye sama. Domin trades a saman layin tashar, Stochastic yakamata ya kasance sama da 80 kuma ya haye ƙasa.

Mataki 5: Shigar da ku trade kawai lokacin da yanayi biyu suka daidaita tsakanin kyandirori 3 na juna. Sanya asarar tasha 20-30 pips fiye da layin tashar da kuke ciniki daga. Sanya maƙasudin riba na farko a layin tashoshi na tsakiya da maƙasudin ku na ƙarshe a kishiyar tashar tashar.

Fa'idodin Tashar Regression Linear da Haɗin Stochastic

• Mafi daidaito: Tabbatarwa sau biyu yana rage fashewar karya
• Mafi haɗari/lada: Madaidaicin shigarwa yana inganta yuwuwar riba
• Yana aiki a cikin duka kasuwanni: Mai tasiri forex, hannun jari, Da kuma Hikimar
• Abokin farawa: Sauƙaƙan dokoki suna da sauƙin bi akai-akai

Dabarun 2: Dabarun Tsara Tsawon Lokaci

Dabarun-Timeframe Dabaru yana amfani da filaye daban-daban guda uku don nazarin alkiblar yanayi da nemo madaidaicin wuraren shiga. Kuna duba yanayin babban hoto akan mafi girman lokaci, gano saiti akan babban lokacinku, sannan aiwatarwa trades akan ƙaramin lokaci don ingantaccen daidaito.

Yadda Ake Amfani da Dabarun Tsara Tsawon Lokaci tare da Tashoshin Regression Linear

Mataki 1: Zaɓi filayen lokutan ku guda uku ta amfani da ka'idar rabo ta 4:1. Idan kuna son rana trade akan ginshiƙi na awa 1, yi amfani da awa 4 don nazarin yanayin da kuma minti 15 don shigarwa. Don cinikin lilo akan ginshiƙi na sa'o'i 4, yi amfani da kullun don yanayin da sa'a 1 don shigarwar.

Mataki 2: Buɗe mafi girman ginshiƙi kuma ƙara tashar Regression Linear tare da tsawon lokaci 100. Wannan yana nuna muku gabaɗayan alkiblar kasuwa da babban yanayin. Kawai trade a cikin hanyar da wannan tashar ke nunawa - sama don dogon lokaci, ƙasa don gajeren wando.

Mataki 3: Canja zuwa babban lokacin cinikin ku kuma ƙara tashar Regression Linear na tsawon lokaci 50. Nemo farashin da ke gabatowa na sama ko ƙananan layukan tashoshi waɗanda suka yi daidai da mafi girman alkiblar ɓacin lokaci. Wannan shine inda zaku gano saitunan kasuwancin ku.

Mataki 4: Matsar zuwa mafi ƙanƙancin lokacin kuma ƙara tashar Regression na layi na tsawon lokaci 20 don madaidaicin lokacin shigarwa. Jira farashin don taɓa iyakar tashar da ta dace da jagoran saitin ku. Wannan yana ba ku ainihin wurin shigarwa tare da kaɗan hadarin.

Mataki 5: Shigar da ku trade a lokacin da duk uku timeframes nuna jeri. Asarar ku tasha ta wuce layin tashar akan babban lokacin ku. Manufar ribarku shine kishiyar layin tashar akan babban lokacinku ko babban matakin da aka nuna akan mafi girman lokaci.

amfanin

• Mafi girman nasara: Duk wa'adin lokaci dole ne su yarda kafin shiga trades
• Kyakkyawan yanayin da ke biyo baya: Guji ciniki da manyan abubuwan da ke faruwa
• Madaidaicin shigarwar: Ƙananan lokaci yana ba da ainihin lokacin shigarwa
• Rage siginonin ƙarya: Tabbatarwa sau uku yana tace saitunan mara ƙarfi
• Hanyar sana'a: Ana amfani da cibiyoyi traders

Dabarun 3: Dabarun Breakout

Dabarun Breakout suna ɗaukar motsin farashin fashe lokacin da abubuwan haɓaka suka haɓaka sama da iyakokin tashar. Kuna jira farashin ya karye ta cikin manyan layukan tashoshi na sama ko ƙasa tare da ƙarfi mai ƙarfi da tabbatar da ƙara.

Yadda Ake Amfani da Wannan Dabarar Breakout

Mataki 1: Saita tashar Regression Linear tare da tsawon lokaci 50-100, ya danganta da lokacinku. Yi amfani da madaidaicin madaidaicin 2.0 don ƙirƙirar tashoshi waɗanda ke ɗauke da mafi yawan ayyukan farashi na yau da kullun.

Mataki 2: Saka idanu matakin farashin yayin da yake gabatowa babba ko ƙananan iyakokin tashoshi. Nemo ƙara ƙarfi da girma yayin da farashin ke kusa da waɗannan layukan. Mafi kyawun fashewa yana faruwa lokacin da farashin ya kasance yana mutunta tashar don taɓawa da yawa kafin fashewa.

Mataki 3: Jira madaidaicin kusancin da ya wuce layin tashoshi maimakon juzu'i na ɗan lokaci. Ya kamata kyandir mai fashewa ya rufe aƙalla 10-20 pips fiye da iyakar tashar tare da matsakaicin matsakaicin girma. Wannan yana tabbatar da fashewar gaske ne ba kawai hayaniyar kasuwa ba.

Mataki 4: Shigar da ku trade nan da nan bayan kyandir ɗin ya rufe ko jira ja da baya don sake gwada layin tashar da ya karye. Shigar da sauri yana ɗaukar ƙarin motsi amma yana da haɗari mafi girma. Shigar da ja baya yana ba da mafi kyawun lada-hadari amma yana iya rasa ƙarfi mai ƙarfi waɗanda ba su koma baya ba.

Mataki 5: Saita asarar tasha a cikin tashar a tsakiyar layi don m trades ko a kishiyar tashar tashar don masu ra'ayin mazan jiya trades. Maƙasudin ribanku ya kamata ya zama aƙalla faɗin tashar da aka tsara daga wurin fashewa.

Amfanin Dabarun Breakout

• Yana kama manyan motsi: Yana ɗaukar matakan haɓaka haɓakawa
• Share sigina: Tashar tashoshi a bayyane suke kuma haƙiƙa ne
• Babban lada mai yuwuwa: Breakouts yakan haifar da tsawaita motsi
• Yana aiki a cikin kasuwanni masu tasowa: Cikakke don ciniki mai ƙarfi
• Hanyar daidaitawa: Yana aiki akan kowane lokaci

Rarraba Ilimi: Wannan bayanin don dalilai ne na ilimi kawai. Dole ne ku gudanar da binciken ku da ƙimar haɗari kafin yin kowane yanke shawara na ciniki.

Tashar Regression Linear vs Standard Deviation Channel

Mutane da yawa traders suna rikita tashoshi na koma baya na layi tare da daidaitattun tashoshi masu karkata. Yayin da suke kama da juna, suna aiki daban-daban kuma suna ba da sigina daban-daban.

Tashar Juya Layi:

• Yana amfani da mafi girma da mafi ƙasƙanci don saita iyakoki
• Layukan tashoshi suna layi daya da layin koma baya
• Faɗin yana tsayawa ko da kuwa volatility
• Yana nuna alkibla da ƙarfi a sarari

Madaidaicin Tashar Maɓalli:

• Yana amfani da ƙididdige ƙididdige ƙididdiga
• Faɗin tashar yana canzawa tare da kasuwar volatility
• An saita iyakoki a daidaitattun sabani 1, 2, ko 3
• Yana faɗaɗawa yayin lokutan da ba su da ƙarfi, yana raguwa yayin lokutan kwanciyar hankali

Ribobi da Fursunoni na Kasuwancin Tashoshin Regression Linear

Tashar Regression Linear tana da fa'idodi da yawa kamar yadda zai iya hango yanayin kasuwa da kuma nuna shigarwar kasuwa ko asara. Koyaya, wasu fursunoni kuma suna da alaƙa da wannan tashar. Anan ga taƙaitaccen bayanin duka biyun:

Advantages na Linear Regression Channels

Tashoshin koma baya na layi suna ba da talla mai ƙarfi da yawavantages wanda ya sa su shahara tsakanin masu farawa da masu sana'a traders.

Ƙirƙirar Siginar Haƙiƙa: Ba kamar layukan da aka yi da hannu ba, tashoshi na koma baya na layi suna cire tunanin ɗan adam da son zuciya. Tsarin lissafi (y = mx + b) yana ƙididdige daidai goyon baya da juriya matakan.

Daidaita Tsayi: Babban tallavantage sabuntawa ne ta atomatik. Yayin da sabbin kyandirori ke tasowa, tashar tana sake ƙididdigewa nan take. Ba kwa buƙatar sake zana layi da hannu. Wannan yana kiyaye binciken ku a halin yanzu tare da yanayin kasuwa.

Share Siginonin Ganuwa: Layuka masu sauƙi guda uku suna ba da duk bayanan da kuke buƙata. Idan farashin yana sama da layin tsakiya, akwai rashin tausayi. Idan farashin yana ƙasa da layin tsakiya, yana da ɓacin rai.

Rasavantages na Linear Regression Channels

Duk da tallan suvantages, tashoshi na juyawa na layi suna da iyakacin iyaka waɗanda kowane trader dole ya fahimta.

Canje-canje na Din-din-din Yana Rikita Mafari: Halin ƙarfin hali wanda ke sa tashoshi masu ƙarfi kuma yana haifar da rudani. Kamar yadda Reddit traders lura: "Sakamako na layi yana da wuyar gaske kuma ya kamata a yi amfani da shi tare da wasu alamomi." Sabo traders sau da yawa yana gwagwarmaya lokacin da layin tashoshi ke motsawa tare da kowane sabon kyandir.

Alamar Lagging: Tashoshin juyawa na layi suna dogara ne akan bayanan farashin da suka gabata. Har zuwa lokacin da kuka ga sigina bayyananne, mafi kyawun ɓangaren motsi na iya ƙarewa. Wannan yana da matsala musamman a kasuwanni masu saurin tafiya.

Yana Bukatar Tabbatarwa: Tashoshi kadai suna samar da siginonin karya da yawa. Dole ne ku haɗa su da sauran alamomi kamar RSI, Stochastic, ko nazarin girma. Wannan yana ƙara rikitarwa ga tsarin kasuwancin ku.

Kuskure na yau da kullun tare da layin koma baya na layi da yadda ake guje musu

Mai traders suna yin kuskure iri ɗaya lokacin farawa tare da tashoshi na juyawa na layi. Learning daga waɗannan kurakuran na iya ceton ku dubban daloli da watanni na takaici.

Kuskure #1: Yaki da Halin Dadi

Matsala: New traders suna jin takaici lokacin da layin tashar ke motsawa tare da kowane sabon kyandir. Suna son kafaffen matakan kamar goyan bayan kwance da juriya.

Magani:

• Yarda da cewa motsin tashar yana da al'ada kuma yana da amfani
• Mayar da hankali kan jagorar tashar, ba daidaitattun wuraren layi ba
• Yi aiki akan asusun demo har sai kun gamsu da canje-canje
• Yi amfani da tsawon lokaci (sanduna 100+) don ƙarin tashoshi masu tsayayye

Kuskure #2: Amfani da Tashoshi a Warewa

Matsala: Ciniki duk lokacin da farashin ya taɓa iyakar tashar ba tare da ƙarin tabbaci ba. Wannan yana haifar da sigina na ƙarya da yawa da asara.

Magani:

• Yi amfani da alamun tabbatarwa koyaushe (RSI, Stochastic, MACD)
• Duba ƙarar tashoshi da taɓawa
• Yi la'akari da yanayin kasuwa gaba ɗaya da ra'ayi
• Kar a taɓa shiga trades on channel tabawa kadai

Kuskure #3: Zaɓin Lokaci mara kyau

Matsala: Yin amfani da tsayin tashar da bai dace ba don salon kasuwancin ku da ɓangarorin lokaci, yana haifar da ko dai sigina da yawa (kananan lokaci) ko kaɗan kaɗan (tsawon lokaci).

Kammalawa

Tashoshin koma baya na layi suna bayarwa traders hanya mai ƙarfi ta lissafi don nazarin kasuwa. Tsarin y = mx + b yana canza ƙungiyoyin farashi masu rikitarwa zuwa bayyanannun alamun ciniki waɗanda ke cire motsin rai da zato daga yanke shawara.

Makullin nasara shine fahimtar cewa tashoshi suna aiki mafi kyau a matsayin wani ɓangare na cikakken tsarin ciniki. Haɗa su tare da alamun tabbatarwa kamar Stochastic, sarrafa haɗarin ku da kyau tare da matsakaicin 2% kowace trade, kuma daidaita tsarin ku zuwa yanayin kasuwa daban-daban.

Yi amfani da wannan gefen lissafi cikin hikima, ku kasance da ladabtarwa tare da ku hadarin hadarin, kuma dabarar na iya zama jagorar ku zuwa ribar ciniki mai daidaituwa.